Книга Strong Society, Smart State: The Rise of Public Opinion in China's Japan Policy

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As China's polity pluralizes, many new voices and institutional actors are affecting the conduct of its foreign relations. James Reilly has produced the first major study of the impact of public opinion on Beijing's formulation and execution of foreign policy, as viewed through the prism of China's perceptions and policies toward Japan. Reilly's findings are insightful but worrying. A landmark study of both Sino-Japanese relations and the rapidly rising impact of assertive nationalist forces in China, that all observers of emerging China should carefully read. -- David Shambaugh, professor and director of the China Policy Program, George Washington University

The rise and influence of public opinion on Chinese foreign policy reveals a remarkable evolution in authoritarian responses to social turmoil. James Reilly shows how Chinese leaders have responded to popular demands for political participation with a sophisticated strategy of tolerance, responsiveness, persuasion, and repression-a successful approach that helps explain how and why the Communist Party continues to rule China. Through a detailed examination of China's relations with Japan from 1980 to 2010, Reilly reveals the populist origins of a wave of anti-Japanese public mobilization that swept across China in the early 2000s. Popular protests, sensationalist media content, and emotional public opinion combined to impede diplomatic negotiations, interrupt economic cooperation, spur belligerent rhetoric, and reshape public debates. Facing a mounting domestic and diplomatic crisis, Chinese leaders responded with a remarkable reversal, curtailing protests and cooling public anger toward Japan. Far from being a fragile state overwhelmed by popular nationalism, market forces, or information technology, China has emerged as a robust and flexible regime that has adapted to its new environment with remarkable speed and effectiveness. Reilly's study of public opinion's influence on foreign policy extends beyond democratic states. It reveals how persuasion and responsiveness sustain Communist Party rule in China and develops a method for examining similar dynamics in different authoritarian regimes. He draws upon public opinion surveys, interviews with Chinese activists, quantitative media analysis, and internal government documents to support his findings, joining theories in international relations, social movements, and public opinion.

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